Posts

VP Harris’ Haley Play

This week, Greg Sargent has had two good podcasts on swing state politics, first with the campaign strategist for North Carolina Attorney General Josh Stein, Morgan Jackson, and then with Josh Shapiro. Both talked about the import of losing by less in rural areas — something Barack Obama did successfully, something that Senate candidate Elissa Slotkin says she’s attempting on Michigan.

But Jackson focused on something else: he noted that Nikki Haley received 250,000 votes in the March 5 primary, the day she dropped out. If Harris can convert any of those voters, it can chip into the 10,000 votes by which Joe Biden lost North Carolina to Trump in 2020.

Nikki Haley got almost 300K votes on February 27 in the Michigan primary.

Nikki Haley got over 75K votes ono March 12 in the Georgia primary.

Nikki Haley got 110K votes on March 19 in the Arizona primary.

Nikki Haley got over 75K votes on April 2 in the Wisconsin primary.

Nikki Haley got over 150K, more than 16% of the vote, on April 23 in the Pennsylvania primary, over a month after she dropped out.

To be sure, most polls show that Trump is still winning an overwhelming majority of the self-identified Republican voters. Trump will get most of these votes.

But Harris’ cultivation of Republican endorsements makes more sense when you think of the one-sixth of the Republican primary voters who voted against Trump long after Haley dropped.

And that’s why two recent endorsements are of particular interest. Last Friday, the co-chair of Haley’s Iowa campaign endorsed Harris.

I served as an Iowa state co-chair of the Nikki Haley for President campaign. I think both parties let us down by selecting two candidates for president in or near their 80s. I was at a loss.

Then, when President Joe Biden stepped down and endorsed Kamala Harris as his replacement, I decided to see who she really was. I was impressed with how she handled herself saying that she wanted to “earn everyone’s support.” She showed willingness to listen to a wider range of views to solve problems.

So I am supporting Kamala Harris for president.

On Wednesday, two key Haley supporters in Michigan endorsed her, including her co-Chair Bill Nowling (who once worked for Rick Snyder).

We disagree, sometimes strongly, with Vice President Harris on some of the ways we increase opportunity for everyone, but we believe she is a person of integrity. And right here, right now in this important election, character and integrity matter most of all.

We can’t say the same thing about former President Trump. Trump builds up himself by tearing down America and Americans. Just last week, during a speech that was supposed to be about battling antisemitism, the former president said the Jewish people would have “a lot to do with” the reason he might not win in November. During his televised debate with the vice president, Trump said Haitian immigrants living in Ohio were, “eating the dogs. They’re eating cats. They’re eating the pets of the people that live there.” America deserves better.

But it is more than just the strange things he says. Trump is no conservative.

I talk about most of these Republican endorsements, starting with that of the Cheneys, as providing a permission structure for Republicans to consider Harris.

But getting Haley’s former state leaders is something else, because it provides an ability to tap into a local network of like-minded never-Trumpers.

If this election turns out to be as close as people expect, it wouldn’t take many Haley voters converted into Harris voters to make the difference. If Harris wins, and by more than expected, these Republican Harris supporters can start what Liz Cheney is now proposing, a third party, representing actual conservatives who are opposed to the radical nuts who took over the Republican party.

No one knows if this concerted effort to court Republicans will work. If it fails, the time it took may end up being one of Harris’ biggest mistakes.

DNC Convention 2024: Day 3

[NB: check the byline, thanks. /~Rayne]

Welcome to Day 3 of Democratic National Committee Convention 2024.

The convention has an umbrella theme, “For the People, For Our Future,” with each successive day having a subset theme.

Day 1 — “For the People” — Joe Biden, keynote speaker

Day 2 — “A Bold Vision for America’s Future’ — Barack Obama, keynote speaker

Day 3 — “A Fight for Our Freedoms” — Tim Walz, keynote speaker <<– YOU ARE HERE

Day 4 — “For Our Future” — Kamala Harris, keynote speaker

Philip Elliot at TIME suggests tonight’s programming will be white man dense because white men were a key voting block which helped Biden win over Trump in 2020 and are still a critical variable in 2024.

Given how often minority groups and women have historically been given short shrift, this approach feels uncomfortable. But if the Democratic Party is to crush Trump and the GOP, no voting bloc should go without outreach, including the Never-Trumpers.

DAY 3 CONVENTION SCHEDULE
Here’s today’s convention schedule (times shown are Central Time):

• 7 a.m.-9:30 a.m.: Delegation breakfasts
• 9 a.m.-10a.m.: Morning press briefing
• 9:30 a.m.-11:30 a.m.: Black Caucus meeting
• 9:30 a.m.-11:30 a.m.: Hispanic Caucus meeting
• 9:30 a.m.-11:30 a.m.: AAPI Caucus meeting
• 9:30 a.m.-11:30 a.m.: Native American Caucus meeting
• 9:30 a.m.-11:30 a.m.: Ethnic Council meeting
• 12 p.m.-1:30 p.m.: Labor Council meeting
• 12 p.m.-1:30 p.m.: LGBTQ+ Caucus meeting
• 12 p.m.-1:30 p.m.: Small Business Council meeting
• 1:45 p.m.-3:15 p.m.: Environmental & Climate Crisis Council meeting
• 1:45 p.m.-3:15 p.m.: Seniors Council meeting
• 6 p.m.-10 p.m.: Main programming

MAIN PROGRAMMING
Main programming has already begun as this post publishes at 7:30 PM ET/6:30 PM CT

Tonight’s schedule (times shown are Central Time):

5:30 PM

Call to Order
• Alex Hornbrook, Executive Director of the 2024 Democratic National Convention Committee

Gavel In
• Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ)

Invocation
• Sri Rakesh Bhatt
• Sri Siva Vishnu Temple
• Bishop Leah D. Daughtry, The House of the Lord Churches

Pledge of Allegiance
• Students from Moreland Arts & Health Sciences Magnet School from St. Paul, MN

National Anthem
• Jess Davis

Presentation of Honorary Resolutions
• Jaime Harrison, Chairman of the Democratic National Committee

Joined by Vice Chairs
• Keisha Lance Bottoms
• Ken Martin
• Henry R. Muñoz III, Treasurer
• Virginia McGregor
• Chris Korge, Finance Chair

Remarks
• Mini Timmaraju, President and CEO of Reproductive Freedom for All
• Alexis McGill Johnson, President and CEO of Planned Parenthood Action Fund
• Cecile Richards, Reproductive Rights Champion
• Kelley Robinson, President of the Human Rights Campaign
• Jessica Mackler, President of EMILYs List
• María Teresa Kumar, Founding President and CEO of Voto Latino
• Rep. Tom Suozzi (NY-03)

6:00 PM

Welcome Remarks
• Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ)

Joint Remarks
• Aftab Pureval, Mayor of Cincinnati OH
• Cavalier Johnson, Mayor of Milwaukee WI
• Deanna Branch, mother and lead pipe removal advocate
• Rashawn Spivey, plumbing business owner and lead pipe removal advocate

Remarks
• Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE At-large District)
• Rep. Grace Meng (NY-

Remarks: “Project 2025—Chapter Three: Freedoms”
• Gov. Jared Polis, Colorado

Remarks
• Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (FL-)
• Suzan DelBene, Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
• Keith Ellison, Attorney General of Minnesota
• Dana Nessel, Attorney General of Michigan
• Jon Polin and Rachel Goldberg, Parents of Hersh Goldberg-Polin

Performance
• Maren Morris, American singer-songwriter

7:00 PM

Remarks
• Rep. Veronica Escobar (TX-16)
• Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT)
• Javier Salazar, Sheriff of Bexar County, Texas
• Pete Aguilar, Chair of the House Democratic Caucus

Influencer Remarks
• Carlos Eduardo Espina, Content creator

Remarks
• Olivia Troye, former Trump administration national security official
• Geoff Duncan, former Lt. Governor of Georgia
• Rep. Bennie G. Thompson (MS-02)
• Sergeant Aquilino Gonell, Retired United States Capitol Police Officer
• Rep. Andy Kim, (NJ-03)

Influencer Remarks
• Olivia Julianna, Content creator

Performance
• Stevie Wonder, American singer-songwriter and musician

Remarks
• Kenan Thompson, American comedian and actor and Guests on Project 2025

8:00 PM

Host Introduction
• Mindy Kaling

Remarks
• Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, Democratic Leader
• Bill Clinton, 42nd President of the United States
• Rep. Nancy Pelosi, Speaker Emerita (CA-)
• Gov. Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania
• Alexander Hudlin
• Jasper Emhoff
• Arden Emhoff
• Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)

9:00 PM

Performance
• Amanda Gorman, National Youth Poet Laureate

Remarks
• Gov. Wes Moore, Maryland
• Pete Buttigieg, Secretary of Transportation

Performance
• John Legend, American singer-songwriter
• Sheila E., American singer and drummer

Remarks
• Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)
• Benjamin C. Ingman, Former student of Governor Walz

Remarks
• Gov. Tim Walz, Minnesota, Democratic Party vice presidential nominee and keynote speaker

Benediction
• William Emmanuel Hall
• Lead Pastor of St. James Church in Chicago

HOW TO WATCH
See Monday’s Day 1 post for the best channels on which to catch the majority of this evening’s programming.

DNC at United Center-Chicago will stream a live feed from its own website between 7:00 PM to 11:00 PM ET (6:00 PM to 10:00 PM CT) Tuesday through Thursday.

https://demconvention.com/

USA Today will also live stream Tuesday through Thursday.

https://www.youtube.com/@USATODAY/streams – main page

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LxBzoWNCWHo – tonight’s feed

The DNC’s convention feeds are:

https://www.youtube.com/@DemConvention – main page

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hIoAq_BHNLU – tonight’s feed

Republicans Mourn Another Failed Attempt to Create a Democratic Schism

Kamala Harris and Tim Walz both gave great speeches last night.

But I was more interested in the dynamics surrounding Josh Shapiro’s appearance. As a number of people acknowledged, Philly’s notoriously rambunctious crowds had the potential to express dissatisfaction that their beloved Governor wasn’t chosen.

It created the same kind of delicate situation that Kamala navigated when she fully supported Biden through the period he was contemplating dropping, only to focus on the debt she owed him in the first several appearances she made after she assumed the mantle of candidate.

Indeed, Walz even paid tribute to Shapiro in some of his first comments.

My god, what a treasure you have in Josh Shapiro. Holy Hell can this guy bring the fire. He can bring the fire. This is a visionary leader. Also I can tell you: everybody in America knows, when you need a bridge fixed, call that guy. And I think sometimes we forget, and you see people a little one dimensional, but seeing a guy who cares so deeply about his family, a man with compassion, vision, and I have to tell you this, I know this from experience: there is no one you would rather to go a Springsteen concert with than him. Than that guy.

Remember: Trump recently said he doesn’t like Springsteen because Springsteen doesn’t like him…

As it happened, the excitement of the Walz pick led at least CSPAN to expand their coverage of the rally to pick up the earlier speakers, giving Bob Casey some earned media. And that, of course, included Governor Shapiro’s speech, which substantially served as tribute to Shapiro’s mutual love affair with Philadelphia, complete with its role in founding the freedom of the United States.

In the wake of last night’s rally, there are several stories out (one, two) claiming — dubiously — that some of the divisive hits on Shapiro leading up to Saturday’s pick weren’t an effort to renew the same schism around Israel that had undercut Biden’s support since last October, but were instead a jujitsu effort to persuade Vice President Harris not to pick Pennsylvania’s popular governor.

Trump, though, has already ruined the efforts to retroactively claim credit for Kamala’s pick, admitting on Fox that he was “absolutely surprised” that Kamala didn’t pick Shapiro. They laid all that dirt because by their logic, Shapiro was the only choice.

As he had been counting on Joe Biden as his opponent (and seems to still be hoping that comes back), Trump had been counting on Shapiro being the VP candidate, even while still mobilizing his antisemitic slur against Adam Schiff.

Republicans were left flat-footed again, claiming they want to run on Walz’ failures to stop violence after the George Floyd protests, without thinking through what it would mean to run on inaction in the face of violent assaults. Even during the George Floyd protests, Trump was hiding in the White House bunker, and he watched in glee as his mob attacked the Capitol on January 6.

Republican trolls were left meming the free tampons Walz made available in schools, without thinking that the same logic behind giving free breakfast and lunch to any kid who wants it — eliminating one of the barriers to get kids present in school and learning — lies behind making period products available for free, too.

So they reverted to their attempts to sow division.

One after another Republican tried to wrench some animosity out of the Walz pick by claiming that Democrats won’t pick Jews in prominent positions. Which led some prominent Jews to express confusion.

Yet there has been little comment about what Shapiro himself said about his faith.

Josh Shapiro mobilized a lot of Philadelphia’s own imagery of Liberty in his speech last night, surely one drafted in part thinking it would be an acceptance speech.

But he ended by invoking his faith.

I wanna just say this. I lean on my family and I lean on my faith, which calls me to serve. And I am proud of my faith. Now hear me. I’m not here to preach at y’all but I want to tell you what my faith teaches me. My faith teaches me that no one — no one — is required to complete the task but neither are we free to refrain from it. That means, that means, that each of us has a responsibility to get off the sidelines, to get in the game, and to do our part. Are you ready to do your part? Are you ready to form a more perfect union? Are you ready to build an America where no matter what you look like, where you come from, who you love or who you pray to, that this will be a place for you. And are you ready to look the next President of the United States in the eye and say, “Hello, Madam President”?

Josh Shapiro used his faith as a way to call thousands of ardent supporters to put in the work to make Kamala Harris, Madam President. Josh Shapiro used his Jewish faith to promise a more perfect union.

Republicans were hoping to use Shapiro — whether he was selected or not — as a way to recreate divisions in the Democratic party. And that plan to divide first — to run on sowing divisions in America — left them flat-footed and unprepared, once again.

Update: Fixed my misspelling of The Boss’ name.

Harris-Walz: The First Rally

[NB: check the byline, thanks. /~Rayne]

The last thread is getting unwieldy and there’s a lot to discuss after tonight’s first rally in Philadelphia.

Here’s the video if you didn’t get to watch it:

So many memes launched today as well; you have to imagine Team Trump shielding their fragile orange bawbag from the deluge.

I think this one might be my favorite so far:

source: https://mstdn.social/@[email protected]/112917576144993599

Heh. Share a link to your favorites in thread below.

Those Complicit in Trump’s False Story about the Election Are Willingly Damaging This Country

Trump is telling a story — a false story — about his loss. The story, by itself, is not enough to overturn his resounding loss, and because of that, a host of people are treating the story-telling as relatively harmless. That’s a mistake, not least because Trump may intend this story-telling to justify other activities, such as a crack-down on people who protest his actions. He may even intend to make this country ungovernable — and in that, he may well succeed. Because of that, every single person who is complicit in telling that story bears direct responsibility for what comes next, including violence and potentially an attempt to thwart the will of voters.

I’d like to look at two kinds of story-telling that are complicit with Trump’s efforts, using this WSJ story, by Rebecca Balhous and Rebecca Davis O’Brien, as an example (though there are a slew of other possible examples).

First, there are Trump’s advisors, many of whom are described as recognizing that Trump’s claims of voter fraud won’t reverse his overwhelming loss.

Trump advisers have grown more vocal in conversations with Mr. Trump in recent days that they don’t see a path to victory, even if his legal efforts meet some success, a White House official said, though some advisers have continued to tell the president he still has a shot. An official said Mr. Trump understands that the fight isn’t winnable but characterized his feelings as: “Let me have the fight.”

One potential strategy discussed by Mr. Trump’s legal team would be attempting to get court orders to delay vote certification in critical states, potentially positioning Republican-controlled state legislatures to appoint pro-Trump electors who would swing the Electoral College in his favor, according to people familiar with the discussions.

It isn’t known how seriously the campaign has considered this idea, one of the people said.

Many of the advisers and lawyers said they doubt the effort would succeed and say it is aimed largely at appeasing Mr. Trump, who believes the election was stolen from him and expects his legal team to keep fighting.

Some of Mr. Trump’s advisers and lawyers said there isn’t an overarching legal theory or coordination behind the campaign’s efforts. The legal battle likely will conclude with Mr. Trump claiming the election was rigged against him and that he fought the outcome, the White House official said.

These people are willing to tell a story — one claiming that Trump’s legal challenges are meant to be serious legal challenges and not theater designed solely for story-telling — just to “appease” Trump. These people are all admitting that they are willing to damage the country just to allow a narcissist to claim he didn’t lose because a majority of the country, even a majority of people in states that make up an Electoral College victory, rejected him, but instead to claim he lost because over half the country did something illegitimate. These people are participating in Trump’s efforts to rebrand the act of casting a vote against Donald Trump as cheating.

No one making those admissions should be given anonymity, because they are willingly doing damage to the country.

Worse still, these anonymous sources are described as not really knowing how far Trump intends to go with the story. If they don’t know how Trump intends to use this effort, then they cannot rule out the possibility that they are telling a story that Trump intends to lay the groundwork for some kind of violent or extralegal effort to refuse to hand over power. Presumably, given that these people recognize how elections work, none of these people would willingly participate in a coup. Except they may be doing just that, by helping Trump tell a story that delegitimizes Joe Biden’s resounding win.

If this fight is not winnable, as these sources acknowledge, then participating in it can only serve to harm the country.

But it’s not just these anonymous sources who are complicit in the damage Trump is doing to this country.

This story treats the outcome of the election as a both-sides issue, one that pits Democrats against Republicans. For example, it notes that “officials in each state” have said there were no problems with the election. But then it only quotes Democrats, and labels each one as a Democrat.

Officials in each state have defended their voting processes as fair and free of major problems. Democrats said they would fight any effort to stop certification of the vote.

[snip]

Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel, a Democrat, said the Michigan lawsuits were aimed at preventing the state from certifying results in hopes that the Republican Legislature would send Congress electors for Mr. Trump. “We are prepared to combat that,” she said on a conference call Wednesday.

[snip]

A spokeswoman for the office of Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, said Gov. Tom Wolf, a Democrat, certifies the electors selected by the popular vote.

A spokeswoman for Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, a Democrat, said the office is confident it will certify election results on time. “Arizona’s courts have plenty of experience handling and expeditiously resolving election-related lawsuits within the very strict statutory deadlines,” said spokeswoman Sophia Solis. [my emphasis]

It is, frankly malpractice to treat these claims as a partisan issue, and even bigger negligence to not quote any of the numerous Republicans who have also said the votes conducted in their states were fair, such as Georgia’s Geoff Duncan, or other Republican experts saying the same, such as Ben Ginsberg or Karl Rove.

Truth is not a partisan issue, but Balhous and O’Brien are treating it as such.

This story also treats claims that have been debunked or that are meaningless as credible.

In Michigan, it has offered affidavits from Republican election challengers who say they were harassed, forcibly excluded from absentee ballot-counting facilities and witnessed tampering with scores of ballots.

[snip]

In Pennsylvania, the campaign’s lawsuit contends the state didn’t give observers enough access to ballot counters and gave voters in Democratic leaning counties more opportunities to correct deficiencies in their mail-in ballots.

It would take about ten minutes of reporting to explain how these claims misrepresent the legal guidelines surrounding official poll challengers or exploit Democrats’ far wider use of mail-in voting this year to suggest disparate treatment. There are multiple court transcripts now where Republican lawyers have admitted this.

And yet, instead of doing that reporting, these journalists treat these bogus claims as if there is some dispute about them. There is not. The facts show these claims are without merit, and including the claims without clearly noting that is irresponsible.

Finally, having spent thirty paragraphs treating these election claims as if they are serious, in spite of the overwhelming evidence they are not, the WSJ admits that they are instead intended to accomplish other objectives.

Republican leadership in Congress has supported Mr. Trump’s legal battle. Some advisers see the efforts as a way to keep the Trump base energized ahead of the runoff elections in Georgia in January that will determine control of the Senate.

The suits also offer Republicans a greater platform to draw attention to any potential voting irregularities. And they provide an opportunity for political payback by Mr. Trump, who has long complained that the special counsel investigation into his campaign’s ties to Russia in the 2016 election was a way for his opponents to delegitimize his victory that year.

Responsible reporting would start with this admission. It would make the lead of the story that Republicans are lying about the viability of their challenge but are willing to do so, with all the damage that will do, to score payback because Trump was investigated for crimes he committed. But instead the WSJ buries it in the last lines, hiding their own complicity and that of Republicans they inexcusably grant anonymity where few will ever read it.

The story that Donald Trump is telling is doing tangible harm to our country. If you are complicit in telling that story — whether you are an anonymous enabler or a both-sides reporter — you also are doing tangible harm to this country.