“The Math”
FWIW, I think this morning’s NYT article naming Olson as Bush’s nominee to be AG was just a plant floated by conservatives pushing the Administration to make this nomination into a confrontation. David Johnston is very susceptible to this kind of planted leak. And Mike Allen, who has better ties to the White House than Johnston, names Olson as just one candidate among five (though the one favored by conservatives)–and he quotes an SAO saying there is "no clear frontrunner" (Laura Jakes Jordan says precisely the same thing).
But now that Harry Reid has thrown down the gauntlet, saying "I intend to do everything I can to prevent him from being confirmed as the next attorney general," lets do a little quick math, shall we?
Ted Olson was confirmed in 2001 with a 51-47 vote, after having been technically defeated in SJC with a 9-9 vote. But because this occurred during the 50-50 split in the Senate, Trent Lott was able to get Olson a vote on the Senate floor. The only two Democrats who voted for Olson were Zell Miller and Ben Nelson. That means Pat Leahy, Ted Kennedy, Joe Biden, Herb Kohl, DiFi, Russ Feingold, Chuck Schumer, and Dick Durbin–all Read more →