NYT’s Sample Versus Early Vote
New York Times’ final sample of voters only captures a realistic percentage of those who’ve already voted in Pennsylvania.
Author Archive for: emptywheel
About emptywheel
Marcy Wheeler is an independent journalist writing about national security and civil liberties. She writes as emptywheel at her eponymous blog, publishes at outlets including Vice, Motherboard, the Nation, the Atlantic, Al Jazeera, and appears frequently on television and radio. She is the author of Anatomy of Deceit, a primer on the CIA leak investigation, and liveblogged the Scooter Libby trial.
Marcy has a PhD from the University of Michigan, where she researched the “feuilleton,” a short conversational newspaper form that has proven important in times of heightened censorship. Before and after her time in academics, Marcy provided documentation consulting for corporations in the auto, tech, and energy industries. She lives with her spouse in Grand Rapids, MI.
Entries by emptywheel
Male Pollsters Shocked — Shocked!! — When a Woman Pollster Discovers Women Voters
/168 Comments/in 2024 Presidential Election/by emptywheelThis entire election has been disproportionately viewed through the lens of polling that has deliberately weighted to ensure that polling doesn’t miss Trump voters, but not (as far as we know) weighted to adjust for post-Dobbs polling misses.
And the Ann Selzer came along.
Fridays with Nicole Sandler
/47 Comments/in 2024 Presidential Election/by emptywheelWe talked a lot about the election, including the impact of the Madison Square Garden rally.
David Weiss Chose Not to Record the Alexander Smirnov Interview He Attended
/15 Comments/in 2020 Presidential Election, 2024 Presidential Election/by emptywheelAccording to a filing from Alexander Smirnov, David Weiss attended, but did not record an interview with the FBI informant that forms a key part of the indictment against him.
Elon Musk’s Machine for Fascism: A One-Stop Shop for Disinformation and Violence
/65 Comments/in 2024 Presidential Election, emptywheel/by emptywheelElon Musk, the richest man in the world, one of Trump’s most gleeful supporters, has set up a one-stop shop: Joining false claims about the election with networks of fascists who’ll take to the streets.
A Tale of Two Pennsylvania Lawsuits
/33 Comments/in 2024 Presidential Election, emptywheel/by emptywheelDonald Trump is squawking about a fairly minor problem in Bucks County, PA, but not a more significant one in Erie.
Proud Boy Closure or John Roberts’ Get Out of Jail Free Card?
/11 Comments/in 2020 Presidential Election, 2024 Presidential Election/by emptywheelSome developments in the Proud Boys cases make me wonder whether John Roberts’ revision of 18 USC 1512(c)(2) made it difficult if not impossible to hold accountable key players that tie the January 6 crime scene and the Willard together.
On the Legacy of Bill Barr’s Luzerne County Intervention
/14 Comments/in 2020 Presidential Election, 2024 Presidential Election/by emptywheelIn any year, DOJ would not be providing much comment on investigations into election-related crime like Elon Musk’s suspected illegal payments or the arson targeting dropboxes in Washington and Oregon. But that’s all the more true because of a scathing Inspector General Report from July laying out Bill Barr and a Trump US Attorney’s efforts to publicize an instance of ballot tampering.
At Least Four Trump Supporters Arrested for Cheating
/88 Comments/in 2024 Presidential Election/by emptywheelThus far, at least four Trump supporters have been arrested for cheating. And the Supreme Court seems poised to help Trump cheat.
Secret Documents! The Ten Month Privilege Fight Whingers Claim Didn’t Happen
/53 Comments/in 2020 Presidential Election, 2024 Presidential Election, January 6 Insurrection/by emptywheelDocuments liberated by Politico confirm the privilege fights over testimony of Trump aides in the January 6 investigation lasted from June 15, 2022 through April 27, 2023.