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What It Would Take to Charge Donald Trump with Inciting Insurrection

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emptywheel
Merrick Garland might yet charge Trump with insurrection. He might need to, to sustain the tie between Trump and his mob. But we have a pretty clear understanding of why that didn't happen, couldn't have happened, before tomorrow's election.
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NYT's Sample Versus Early Vote

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emptywheel
New York Times' final sample of voters only captures a realistic percentage of those who've already voted in Pennsylvania.
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Male Pollsters Shocked -- Shocked!! -- When a Woman Pollster Discovers Women Voters

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emptywheel
This entire election has been disproportionately viewed through the lens of polling that has deliberately weighted to ensure that polling doesn't miss Trump voters, but not (as far as we know) weighted to adjust for post-Dobbs polling misses. And the Ann Selzer came along.
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Fridays with Nicole Sandler

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emptywheel
We talked a lot about the election, including the impact of the Madison Square Garden rally.
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David Weiss Chose Not to Record the Alexander Smirnov Interview He Attended

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emptywheel
According to a filing from Alexander Smirnov, David Weiss attended, but did not record an interview with the FBI informant that forms a key part of the indictment against him.
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Elon Musk's Machine for Fascism: A One-Stop Shop for Disinformation and Violence

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emptywheel
Elon Musk, the richest man in the world, one of Trump's most gleeful supporters, has set up a one-stop shop: Joining false claims about the election with networks of fascists who'll take to the streets.
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The Problem Bezos Can’t See

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Ed Walker
Admit it Jeff: you're afraid of Trump and you kissed his ring.
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A Tale of Two Pennsylvania Lawsuits

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emptywheel
Donald Trump is squawking about a fairly minor problem in Bucks County, PA, but not a more significant one in Erie.
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Proud Boy Closure or John Roberts' Get Out of Jail Free Card?

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emptywheel
Some developments in the Proud Boys cases make me wonder whether John Roberts' revision of 18 USC 1512(c)(2) made it difficult if not impossible to hold accountable key players that tie the January 6 crime scene and the Willard together.
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Donald J. Trump wearing an apron while dispensing french fries at a McDonald's fast food restaurant in Pennsylvania as part of a campaign stunt on Sunday, October 20, 2024. Photo by Doug Mills/AP.
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What Wannabe Cosplayer-in-Chief Doesn’t Grab

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Rayne
Vote for somebody who isn’t going to cosplay at working while being a fascist slacker in reality.
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On the Legacy of Bill Barr's Luzerne County Intervention

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emptywheel
In any year, DOJ would not be providing much comment on investigations into election-related crime like Elon Musk's suspected illegal payments or the arson targeting dropboxes in Washington and Oregon. But that's all the more true because of a scathing Inspector General Report from July laying out Bill Barr and a Trump US Attorney's efforts to publicize an instance of ballot tampering.
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At Least Four Trump Supporters Arrested for Cheating

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emptywheel
Thus far, at least four Trump supporters have been arrested for cheating. And the Supreme Court seems poised to help Trump cheat.
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Secret Documents! The Ten Month Privilege Fight Whingers Claim Didn't Happen

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emptywheel
Documents liberated by Politico confirm the privilege fights over testimony of Trump aides in the January 6 investigation lasted from June 15, 2022 through April 27, 2023.
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Jeff Bezos' Manifesto of Impotence

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emptywheel
Reality is in fact on the ballot this year, the race remains neck and neck, and you, Jeff Bezos, decided to go down without a fight.
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Jack Smith's Delicate Treatment of BadgerPundit Kenneth Chesebro

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emptywheel
Jack Smith appears to have interviewed Kenneth Chesebro. But that doesn't mean his testimony is all that reliable.
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The Media Started Capitulating to Trump with Russia Russia Russia

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emptywheel
The media's capitulation to Donald Trump is not new. They started down this path when they allowed Trump to claim that the very productive Russian investigation was just a big hoax, and on that manufactured grievance build a fascist movement.
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If Putin Is Running Musk, Trump Should Be Terrified

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emptywheel
Elon Musk's reported ties to Vladimir Putin and other top Russians are more of a concern because of Musk's willingness to use Xitter to stoke violence and JD Vance's centrality in Musk's role on Trump's campaign.
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Woodward Book: Joe Biden's "Dementia" Tracked His Stress about Hunter Biden

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emptywheel
Even though Bob Woodward's book describes it explicitly, Dick Pick Sniffers like Alex Thompson seem to have missed the import of the observation, attributed to Tony Blinken, that guilt about Hunter's plight turned Joe Biden into an emotional wreck.
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