“Embarrassingly Wrong:” The Ongoing Misinformation Campaign about the Hunter Biden Hard Drive
Trump’s Executive Order stripping 51 former spooks of clearance for writing a true letter expressing their opinion that Rudy Giuliani’s claims to have Hunter Biden’s emails “has all the classic earmarks of a Russian information operation” has led to inevitable false claims about the hard drive people falsely call a laptop.
Shockingly, it comes from Shane Harris, who at least while at WaPo would not make the kinds of errors he makes in this piece.
Harris states as fact that the 51 spooks were “embarrassingly wrong” and as proof, asserts that “the emails really did turn out to belong to Hunter Biden.”
But they were wrong. Embarrassingly wrong. The emails really did turn out to belong to Hunter Biden, and they raised legitimate concerns that he was trying to profit from his father’s political position. No evidence ever surfaced that Russia had played a role in bringing the emails to light. Intelligence experts sometimes make bad calls. This was one of those times.
[snip]
Some of the signatories still defend their work by noting, correctly, that they said the emails might be part of some Russian trick, not that they definitely were. That too-cute defense does not absolve them of bad judgment.
Except, as John Brennan noted in an interview on MSNBC, one thing they posited in the letter is that the information might be “accurate information,” noting that Russia did just that in the 2016 presidential election.
Such an operation would be consistent with some of the key methods Russia has used in its now multi-year operation to interfere in our democracy – the hacking (via cyber operations) and the dumping of accurate information or the distribution of inaccurate or misinformation. Russia did both of these during the 2016 presidential election. [my emphasis]
Harris knows this stuff! While the Guccifer 2.0 persona altered some of the documents stolen from the DNC and misrepresented others and Yevgeniy Prigozhin’s trolls engaged in outright fabrication, the emails stolen from John Podesta were authentic. The operation nevertheless succeeded in sucking up all the attention in the last several weeks of the election, with scandals manufactured out of inconclusive emails, just like the ones used in the NYPost story.
So claiming that the spooks were wrong because the emails really did turn out to be Hunter’s simply misrepresents both the letter and the mechanism of information operations.
As for Harris’ claim that, “No evidence ever surfaced that Russia had played a role in bringing the emails to light”?
Even ignoring Lev Parnas’ testimony that Rudy was offered a laptop hacked with the assistance of Russian spies in 2019 (while unverified, that is evidence, and Mykola Zlochevsky got the legal relief from Trump’s DOJ that Parnas claimed Rudy was offering at the time), the available record shows that the FBI didn’t do the most basic work they would have had to do to check for such evidence.
Remember, the currently operative story is that someone claimed to be Hunter Biden dropped off three devices at John Paul Mac Isaac’s store in April 2019. JPMI kept one to made a copy of the data. But no one ever retrieved the laptop or a hard drive on which JPMI stored the data. So after snooping through it all, months later, JPMI’s father offered up the laptop to the FBI. In December 2019 — days after Rudy traveled to Kyiv to meet with Andrii Derkach and the same month when DOJ shut down an investigation into Mykola Zlochevsky — FBI obtained both the hard drive and a laptop using a subpoena referencing a money laundering investigation that is not referenced in the warrant from the known tax investigation.
But there’s little evidence that the FBI checked that story. Indeed, the public evidence suggests there’s something fishy about the hard drive, which was the basis for all the other copies, including the one Rudy got.
- Mac Isaac’s own description of his actions does not match that of the FBI. On top of timeline discrepancies (including about whether FBI accessed the device before obtaining the known warrants), that includes misidentifying the devices dropped off at his shop and falsely claiming the laptop ultimately turned over to FBI did not have a removable hard drive (which was JPMI’s explanation for why he copied the laptop in the way he did).
- A March 31, 2020 email documented concerns, “about quality and completeness of imaged/recovered information from the hard drive” that “for a variety of reasons [USAO] thought they needed to keep it from the agents” who might testify at trial.
- Ten months after obtaining the laptop, the FBI had never checked the creation date of the files on it and the FBI never indexed the laptop (nor did it Bates-stamp the files they used at trial).
- Hunter Biden’s laptop data was not introduced at trial via an expert witness. Rather, a summary witness introduced the data, and she clearly testified she had not been asked to check for signs of tampering. The only things she mentioned at trial that validated the laptop is that the laptop matched subpoena information for Hunter’s iCloud (which may mean no more than that it accessed the account) and Hunter’s publicly available iCloud email account had received an email from John Paul Mac Isaac. Those sworn claims were far short of the things investigators had earlier claimed tied Hunter to the laptop: an exchange of calls, a local purchase, and “other intelligence.”
- The expert validation used in lieu of expert testimony does not identify the device(s) it validated and only refers to a single extraction report even though two separate extractions (one of the hard drive, another of the laptop) were done.
- According to prosecutors, the Cellebrite report of the hard drive from which (according to JPMI) all subsequent copies were made is 62% larger, by page count, than the Cellebrite report of the laptop itself.
FBI’s thin validation of the laptop could not rule out involvement of others, not least because of Hunter’s otherwise erratic behavior in the period.
- At least seven different laptops had accessed Hunter’s iCloud account in the years leading up to Mac Isaac obtaining it; Zoe Kestan testified that Hunter would do business from her laptop and she had access to his bank account via that laptop.
- Kestan also testified that Hunter would give her and his drug dealers one time codes so they could access his bank accounts.
- In January 2019, Hunter claimed that his Russian drug dealer had stolen a laptop (this may actually have been an iPad) from him in August 2018; this was the same period when new devices accessed Hunter’s Venmo account from two different cities within 12 minutes of each other. David Weiss appears to have made an error in the Tax Indictment about a closely related Venmo transaction.
- The access to the laptop in FBI custody does not match Hunter’s normal pattern after obtaining a new device of logging into his iCloud account and at least one of his Google accounts in fairly quick succession.
- The days before Hunter bought the laptop that would eventually end up in Fox News pundit Keith Ablow’s custody, he paid a Slavic sex worker over $8,000 via four different transactions and different bank accounts, an outlier both in amount and the multiple payment methods.
- The laptop itself has an inexplicable collection of data, much of which is unavailable from the iCloud backups obtained with warrants in 2019.
Hunter Biden was an addict. As such he had almost no control over his own devices, and both Kestan’s testimony and his own memoir describe that he routinely lost devices. Particularly given the known access he provided others and the number of devices that accessed his iCloud account, it would be child’s play for nefarious actors to package up Hunter’s data on a laptop.
And, at least as late as David Weiss made that error in the tax indictment, no one at FBI or DOJ appears to have tried to check what happened to Hunter Biden’s devices (I think the Kestan testimony may have been based on interviews just before the June gun trial). By all appearances, DOJ had no plan to use evidence from the laptop had the tax case gone to trial.
In his testimony for Jim Jordan’s investigation regarding the letter, James Clapper repeatedly said he’d like a statement about the FBI’s forensic analysis of the laptop. At Kristin Wood’s interview by the Committee, Trump’s OMB Deputy designee (and then Congressman) Dan Bishop said, “If, in fact, the FBI has not conducted a forensic investigation, or has conducted a forensic investigation and has suppressed the results, should the American people continue to defer to the FBI?” Yet when I tried to liberate that forensic report last year, DOJ successfully fought its release.
I’m not saying that this was a Russian operation. I’m saying that, based on the public record, the FBI did scandalously little to even test whether it could be; there’s no evidence they took the steps they would have needed to rule it out and plenty of reason to believe they did not.
The FBI never even indexed the laptop, not over the course of four years of reliance on it. They’re in no position to make claims about its provenance.
And so, Shane Harris is in no position to lecture spooks about them being “embarrassingly wrong.”
Fantastic. And a great summary of several year’s worth of your work. Thanks!
But, to be fair, it is worth clicking through to the Shane Harris article to see how unhappy he is with Trump’s action.
Agreed. But the piece is still weaker than it needs to be because it simply tosses aside a really strong point: that there was indeed good evidence of Russian fingerprints on the operation. As well, Harris’ decision to include the “regrets” of some undisclosed proportion of the 51 undercuts the danger posed by these sorts of Russian ops, by refocussing the piece in a kind of “both-sides-ism” way.
Yes indeed.
Not to worry – Ka$h will straighten it out.
also worth adding that Alexander Smirnov, the “star witness” that Jim Jordan, James Comer etc had to support their “Biden Crime Family” narrative (which involved Hunter’s laptop/hard drive & emails, e.g. “10% for the big guy”) was convicted of lying to FBI and has been sentenced to 6 yrs.
Marcy,
34’s EO “…publication also created a grave risk that classified material was publicly exposed.” Rich, showers in Mar a Lago, bathrooms, open to the public held reams of classified documents and specifically located in those bathrooms at 34’s request, but, sure use a sharpie to sign an EO clutching pearls, shocked, that information about Hunter Biden, is “publicly exposed”. Manly exercise power to remove clearances of 51 signatories.
Thank you for all you do reporting truth to power with exceptional evidence and witnesses. Peace. We are in this together.
Rewriting true history into a Trump supportive false narrative is indefensible, but that will not stop it.
People like Marcy ain’t gonna go quietly – or go at all.
However, perhaps the most important component is trying to get a critical mass of people to not believe the rewrites and to actually read AND COMPREHEND the true narrative that people like Marcy are documenting and keeping alive.
If only there were a broader outlet for this kind of work to be presented. Not enough people seek out – at least read and comprehend (no need to comment at) – sites like this.
I’d like to see investigative journalism like this and from others read into the Congressional Record, but that is not a source for most either.
“The FBI never even indexed the laptop, not over the course of four years of reliance on it.” WTAF–EW, you say that like it’s a bad thing! Once an index gets attached, those with questions typically have a much easier time finding answers, or at least a first step toward answers. Who wants THAT?
Plus, indexing is hard! The one I did for a golf-coaching book that I co-authored nearly cost me my sanity AND my eyesight, as I worked under a tight publication deadline and without any of those computer shortcuts (because my primordial laptop supported next to nothing). You can’t expect the poor FBI to do something like that all by their tiny little selves, can you?
One would think that in this day and age, indexing digital sources would be both routine and mandatory, except when you’re trying to make shit up.
Once upon a time (meaning I can’t remember where I read this, so I cannot properly attribute it) I read that one theory to explain the CIA’s sketchy behavior around any investigation of JFK’s assassination wasn’t that the Agency was involved in a conspiracy; instead, it was that all of the Agency’s sketchy activities and the nefarious characters it was associated with, the powers that be were actively trying to stay unaware of what, if any, involvement it may or may not have had. The Feeb’s actions around “the laptop” kind of remind me of that.
Perhaps not quite. Allen Dulles, former long-time CIA director and devout enemy of JFK (who fired Dulles over the Bay of Pigs fiasco), for example, was on the Warren Commission. A lot of the very senior figures on that commission had actual knowledge or a good idea of what the CIA did for a living. Some of them tasked them to do it. It seems more likely they wanted not to document it or let it into the public record.
This is yet another fantastic article. Thank you!!!
A suggestion for an explanation of the Hunter laptop narrative.
Since September 2023, I came to believe that Israel had a large role in the theft of Hunter’s data and coordination with Rudy/Trump for election interference. They would be more likely than Russia in this respect.
While I am confident enough here, that I have continued to hold this belief as I have gathered more information, I am not confident enough to really push that idea as definitely true.
So somewhere in between, I am confident to suggest that people take that as a consideration. People can try to poke holes in that theory, or see how it aligns with other known facts.
For example, Lev Parnas in September 2024, continued his information operation which began March 2023 to get left wingers to believe that the 2019 Mac Isaac laptop somehow came from a 2014 compromise of Hunter by Russia in Kazakhstan.
It seems obvious to me, that a goal here is to steer suspicion away from Israel. Left wingers (myself included) are ready to buy into anything to suggest that Trump is compromised by Russia, and that he could be receiving their help.
I am confident enough to say that MSNBC was a willing participant here. And, that it’s possible that Hunter himself gave Parnas approval, as they had just met privately a few days prior.
Similarly, if I am correct, the semantics of the 51 spooks letter reads a certain way. Like they can’t say Russia definitely did something, just that it’s something they could do. And that they had this letter vetted to make sure it didn’t include any classified information.
In the framework I am working with, the deep state and the Bidens would know Israel is behind the laptop. Blinken would know. Maybe one or more of the 51, like Morell. Possibly somewhat of an open secret among higher level circles of national security folks.
While I wouldn’t rule out Israel having a role, I’m certain that Morell and Blinken wouldn’t know about it.
I also think Parnas is telling that story to stay in the news. I also think it’s likely what they were told. I also think it likely that RU spooks DID compromise a Hunter iPad in 2016.
Thanks for the input, I appreciate it.
Question for Emptywheel:
A question to clarify a comment on Ball of Thread 11, The Packaging of Hunter
Did Zoe Kestan testify that she used Find my Phone to locate Hunter? Or that she monitored bank transactions to determine location?
This article says she mentioned the Wells Fargo account to look at transactions.
https://www.emptywheel.net/2024/06/06/how-to-think-about-the-hunter-biden-laptop/
Indeed, roughly 2/6/19, roughly 2 days after Hunter left Ablow’s, Hunter’s email did begin receiving daily updates from Wells Fargo showing transactions.
Hypothetically, if someone had access to Hunter’s account, and they were planning to impersonate him to take his laptop into Mac Isaac in Wilmington, monitoring Wells Fargo activity could be a way to wait for his location to return to Wilmington.
Isn’t it true that not one byte of information from any of those three Hunter Biden devices was used in any of David Weiss’ indictments? That says something about the sketchiness of the provenance of any “information” obtained from them. Modern Republicans are such one-trick ponies! They have been beating the Burisma dead horse for over ten years and haven’t proven doodley-squat. Meanwhile, Jared and Ivanka are living in the lap of luxury on billions obtained under sketchy circumstances from Bonesaw MBS. Disgusting hypocrisy.
“But they were wrong. Embarrassingly wrong. The emails really did turn out to belong to Hunter Biden, and they raised legitimate concerns that he was trying to profit from his father’s political position.”
Are there any specific examples to support Harris’ claim? The NY Post pointed to the email from Vadym Pozharskyi as “smoking gun proof” of illegal influence peddling. It was about dinner for a Greek Archbishop friend of Joe Biden. Multiple witness confirmed there was no business discussions. I have yet to see any reports of Joe Biden changing US policy to aid Burisma. Also, the investigation of Blue Star Strategies showed no wrong doing.
From what I see, Hunter Biden accepted a director position at a company allied with the US. He was as qualified as any other board member. He delivered value to the firm from his contributions. He did not arrange any special treatment from his father. While the opportunity for conflict of interest was there, none has been documented. However, the media has attached an unsupported stigma of corruption that has been received as a given. I don’t see it in any of the published emails.
Why does MSM continue to allow “Hunter Biden”, “Laptop”, and “Burisma” to inflict damage, but “Derkach”, “Telizhenko”, “Luft”, and “Smirnov” don’t?
“Why does the MSM continue to allow…?”
This is largely why I decided to dive into this project and will continue to until I can put together what I think most likely happened.
Is anyone satisfied with the media coverage here? Has any media even called out Mac Isaac for lying about the year of the laptop?
Even the day NY Post first reported, online folks pointed out the serial number of the laptop shows that the laptop has a removable hard drive and Mac Isaac’s claims doesn’t make any sense.
That’s a big lie for Mac Isaac to adhere to. Easily debunked. Easy for the media to call out.
Another questionable detail:
the invoice lists 3 laptops but he only in took one. Seems weird. Maybe legit. But also something that someone would do if the op originally planned for 3 laptops, but only 1 could materialize. And they had to go with the paperwork already began.
That Daily Mail article is the source of at least 3 false narratives.
Listed in order of relevance:
1. The 3rd Stolen Laptop in Vegas August 2018: AFAIK, I’m the only person identifying this as false, that the stolen device was an iPad not a laptop, which coincidentally is the only phone or iPad Dimetrelos lists twice as it reconnects to Hunter’s Apple in January 2019 while he’s at Ablow’s, and which has a Last Heartbeat IP address of Ablow’s Cottage (despite Hunter leaving Ablow on 2/4/19 and the laptop holding data up to 3/17/19). I’ve posted reasons why it’s an iPad in comments before, and if required I can repost reasons. Ball of Thread 11 plays the clip of Hunter stating his “computer” had been stolen, the only evidence provided that it’s a laptop.
2. The woman in the 1/6/19 video recording is listed as “unidentified hooker”: this woman is easily identifiable by looking at text messages, emails, and photos released by Marco Polo; also there is no evidence provided she is a prostitute.
In texts, Hunter describes her as a “friend” and “skinny spinner chick who likes what I like”. Recording videos with Hunter doesn’t mean she is a prostitute.
Why that matters? Tore says later put out a narrative that she had real time comms with Hunter’s love interests and talked them into getting Hunter to abandon his laptops, so he could be freed from burdens. Tore refers to her as Hunter’s “prime hooker”, despite her not being a hooker/prostitute.
Tore was part of a crew assembled by Rudy to examine Hunter’s laptop. That she was assembled by Rudy, and came up with a false cover story to explain Hunter abandoning the laptop, suggests that was the reason Rudy assembled the crew – to come up with a cover story.
Begging the question: Why would they feel it necessary to come up with a cover story if Hunter really abandoned the laptop?
3. The article claims the woman in a picture with hair being pulled by Hunter is a Russian brunette who was present at the device theft: analyzing the texts and photos in the laptop, it’s easy to identify this woman in the picture with her hair pulled, who is most likely of South American origin. And I haven’t seen evidence in texts/photos she was in Vegas with Hunter.
https://web.archive.org/web/20210812011817/https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9881213/Unearthed-video-shows-naked-Hunter-Biden-claiming-Russian-drug-dealers-stole-laptop.html
Oh, I think I’ve been pretty consistent that it was an iPad (though it’s possible there were two). That’s what he shuts down. But that doesn’t explain, then, why he only buys the Ablow laptop four weeks later.
Are you saying that independently from me, or based on my comments and research?
I’m asking because when it comes to these types of claims, I am hesitant. I’m not a tech person.
While I feel confident saying that it was most likely an iPad stolen in Vegas instead of a laptop, because I’m the only one making this claim, I still hold some skepticism. When I came to that conclusion, it just seemed like it was too easy to debunk. If I could debunk it just by wading into the data, sorting timestamps, fact checking the claim with basic analysis, why didn’t someone more competent than me already debunk it?
The Washington Post and CBS have the hard drives, so why couldn’t they fact check The Daily Mail and Rudy and Mac Isaac and Miranda Devine?
Which laptop is it?
Some dates and relevant info.
March 2018: as Zoe testified, Hunter took his broken laptop to an Apple store, this would most likely be Bobbys MacBook Pro, 13″ w touch bar
March 28: date the Mac Isaac hard drive is created, per Maryman. If Hunter bought the laptop in October, why was the hard drive created in March?
April 2018: the text messages begin syncing and will appear on the Mac Isaac laptop which connects later on in October. If the Ablow laptop begins Sept 1 after the prior one was stolen in August, how do these April texts show up?
May 2018: Hunter begins using the 12″ Retina named Roberts MacBook, which is the laptop he brings to Vegas. If a laptop is stolen in Vegas, it’s this one.
August 5: a device was stolen, either a laptop which would be Roberts MacBook 12″ Retina or Robert’s iPad
8/31: at Best Buy in LA, Hunter buys the Ablow laptop, a 13″ with touch bar, per emails receipt. Same day, same Best Buy, per bank records from Delaware trial, he also spent a separate $388. Maybe this would include a data transfer from the previous laptop which could be broken not stolen?
9/17 and 9/18: Hunter sends texts indicating he has had computer problems and just recently got his computer working. It’s not clear which computer he is referencing, if the problems were a broken laptop vs a stolen laptop, or if he is even coherent of timeframes
October 2018: Hunter texts a family member saying when they advised him to replace a broken computer he did so immediately. Not clear if that is referencing March or August/September or October. He also leaves a “computer” at Hallie’s house and doesn’t want to pick it up himself around this time. It’s possible he bought a laptop in October just to avoid dealing with Hallie. And possible it was the Ablow laptop he left behind, or I suppose it could even be an iPad left behind
Sooo… I think it’s plausible that the Vegas laptop ended up being broken not stolen, and had data transferred to the Ablow laptop at the Best Buy
For reference to people, the Mac Isaac laptop is named Robert[‘]s MacBook Pro (with or without an apostrophe depending which part of the Dimitrelos report you’re looking at), a 13″ MacBook without touch bar and with a removable hard drive purchased in October
And here’s another false narrative from the Daily Mail article.
4. Hunter’s Vegas trip was 18 days (it was really 14 days): this article quotes Hunter saying the trip was 18 days. In Miranda Devine’s first book she wrote the trip was 18 days. She doesn’t use footnotes to cite sources so I’m guessing this is her source. Looking through the data from the laptop, as Devine claims she did, it’s clear the trip was 14 days.
Oddly, in Devine’s new book, she cleaned up this detail and accurately stated 14 days this time. Its unclear why she corrected the detail, along with a couple others which she either corrected or left out.
Though one detail she didn’t correct in the new book: she repeated Mac Isaac’s lie that the laptop was a 2016 model. Then later when she described the laptop presented at at the Delaware trial, she omitted the year, just calling it a MacBook Pro.