The Legal Cases Implicating Donald Trump’s Conduct That Won’t Go Away [Because of His Election]

There’s been a lot of chatter since Tuesday about how the criminal cases against Donald Trump will go away because of his election (CNN has one of the most comprehensive discussions of what will happen to Trump’s guilty verdict in New York, for which he is due to be sentenced this month).

But there’s been less discussion of the legal cases implicating Donald Trump’s conduct that won’t go away solely because of his election (which is to say, they may go away for other reasons). These implicate Trump, but because his biological person is not the defendant, should not be implicated by his election.

Consider AJ Delgado’s lawsuit against Trump’s first campaign and his campaign managers. She sued five years ago for sex, gender, and pregnancy discrimination after Trump’s people allegedly retaliated when she filed a discrimination case when she was sidelined after Jason Miller got her pregnant. Of late, she’s been slogging along pro se, seeking evidence of other women who were discriminated against by either of his then two campaigns and getting depositions of people who were involved in the effort to silence her. In September, Trump filed his motion for summary judgment. But Delgado just got a continuance on hers until the end of December because she had to depose Michael Glassner and because Miller continues to waste her time dicking around on paternity issues in Florida.

More interesting still, there’s Peter Strzok. In July, DOJ settled the Privacy Act lawsuits Strzok and Lisa Page filed for having their texts shared with the press. But his claim that he had been fired for his First Amendment protected speech and denied due process continued. In September, DOJ filed its motion for summary judgement. While the filing and exhibits are significantly redacted, the motion seems to dirty Strzok up based on claims about his actions in the cases related to 2016 and argue standard Human Resources claims about the process by which he was fired. Last week, Strzok filed his own motion for summary judgment. Again, it’s heavily redacted, but he notes that the FBI changed their firing guidelines after he and Andrew McCabe were fired. He lays out evidence that others who sent inappropriate content on their FBI devices, including racist language and language attacking Hillary Clinton, were not fired.

But the case is most likely to come down to David Bowdich’s credibility. Bowdich’s deposition appears to say that he fired Strzok because of the damage his texts did to the FBI. Strzok will attempt to discredit Bowdich’s claims, firstly, with a statement from Andy McCabe that when the texts were first discovered, Bowdich said nothing to disagree with McCabe’s stance that Strzok would not be fired. There’s something else, which is completely redacted, that the FBI only disclosed when they settled the Privacy Act suit, but it’s not clear what that is. If it ever goes to trial, then Trump’s claims that he was responsible for the firing will be at issue (and anything else interesting he said in the hard-won deposition Strzok got, as well as Trump’s requests for retaliation.

All that said, the judges in these two cases — Magistrate Judge Katharine Parker (and if it survives, Analisa Torres) for Delgado, and Amy Berman Jackson for Strzok — seem pretty skeptical of these two cases, so they may get dismissed on summary judgment. If not, you might see trials on Trump’s discrimination and retaliation against his perceived enemies next year. But if ABJ doesn’t throw out this case, DOJ is likely to appeal before trial in a bid to expand their authority to fire people without due process.

But I see no reason they’ll get dismissed because Trump will be President. His campaign is the defendant in the first case, FBI is the defendant in the second.

An even more interesting example is Hunter Biden.

A lot of people are rightly saying that Biden should protect his son (and brother) by simply pardoning them on the way out — and I get that instinct. All the more so because, yesterday, James Comer suggested he — or Trump’s DOJ — would renew his pursuit of Hunter Biden in the next Congress. But even after that, Karine Jean-Pierre reiterated the answer she’s always given: President Biden will not pardon his son.

President Biden still has no plans to pardon his son, Hunter Biden, in the final months of his presidency, the White House press secretary reiterated on Thursday.

“We’ve been asked that question multiple times and our answer stands — which is no,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said at Thursday’s press briefing.

I had already been thinking that Hunter may not want a full pardon, because he still has appeals that might succeed.

And amid discussions of DOJ’s hopes to defeat the Aileen Cannon precedent on Special Counsels, rather than just dismiss the stolen documents case against Trump and the two aides who protected him, it makes more sense.

Here’s a (dated) summary of all the legal proceedings in Hunter’s life (the two disgruntled IRS agents have since added several suits, one targeting Abbe Lowell for defamation).

The basis for appeal that most dick pic sniffing journalists are focused on is Hunter’s Second Amendment challenge to his conviction in Delaware. In the wake of Bruen, other defendants have had some (mixed) success arguing that — for example — the government can only prohibit possessing guns during drug impairment, and prosecutors very pointedly dodged having to prove that in Hunter’s case. Because other (more dangerous) defendants are delaying incarceration during appeal, I think it plausible that Judge Maryellen Noreika will agree to do so here, too.

But Trump’s successful claim that Jack Smith was not lawfully appointed carries over to Hunter’s cases too (and, importantly, Alexander Smirnov’s). David Weiss was hired under the very same authority that Jack Smith was, the authority that Cannon said was unconstitutional. And both Hunter and Smirnov already tried to make the same argument on interlocutory basis.

On paper, Hunter’s challenge to David Weiss’ appointment as Special Counsel is weakest in Delaware, because Weiss could have prosecuted him as US Attorney anyway. But Cannon’s ruling says that improper appointment resets everything to before the appointment happened. And the most important evidence submitted at Hunter’s trial — the gun residue, a warrant to search his laptop for evidence of drug use, and probably key interviews with Zoe Kestan — all happened after Weiss started acting as Special Counsel. They also all happened after statute of limitations for the crime expired. If this challenge succeeded, the case should be time barred.

Hunter’s case against David Weiss’ appointment would be stronger in LA, because Weiss chose not to use special attorney authority to charge Hunter there (though given how prosecutors charged him, Trump’s DOJ would have until next year to refile the charges).

The case is stronger still for Smirnov, because — by all appearances — Weiss got Special Counsel authority so he could investigate a matter implicating Joe Biden, Smirnov’s allegedly false attempt to frame Biden. Smirnov’s charges, too, are getting stale. Because Weiss charged Smirnov for statements he made in 2020, not last year, they would expire next spring (I’ll return to what recent motions in the case say about Weiss’ investigation).

But as I already said, Smirnov is someone whom Trump might have real incentive to pardon at the start of his term, particularly if Smirnov gets his renewed bid for a delay, meaning a pardon would be pre-trial.

While there are other people (most notably, Michael Cohen) who might challenge their prosecution based on the Cannon precedent, if prosecutions against Smirnov, Walt Nauta, and Carlos De Oliveira went away, via whatever means, then Hunter Biden would be the sole person facing prison time based on what Cannon said was an unconstitutional appointment. While normally he might not do so, given those circumstances, I think both Judge Mark Scarsi might let Hunter stay out of prison pending appeal as well.

The Second Amendment and Special Counsel appeals will get the most attention.

It’s Hunter’s other appeals that might be more interesting, though. Best as I can tell, Hunter has preserved the following issues for appeal in one or both of his cases:

  • David Weiss reneged on a signed deal (the Noreika and Scarsi decisions are slightly inconsistent on this point, so there’s a circuit split already)
  • Pressure from Trump and Congress led Weiss to change his mind about prosecuting Hunter (I’m not certain this has been preserved in Los Angeles)
  • Pressure from the IRS agents led Weiss to renege on the tax plea deal
  • Noreika improperly admitted evidence from the laptop
  • Noreika improperly excluded evidence of how the Delaware cop who interviewed Hunter in 2018 and the gun shop owner pushed to get Hunter prosecuted and then revised their stories long after the fact
  • Noreika improperly refused discovery on issues pertaining to the Brady side channel and Smirnov’s attempt to frame Joe Biden

Hunter’s lawsuits against the IRS and Garrett Ziegler may strengthen his hand in some of these challenges. The Ziegler lawsuit, for example, implicates chain of custody going back to John Paul Mac Isaac, and therefore chain of custody that reflects on the chain of custody problems the FBI chose to ignore. The IRS lawsuit may provide a way to depose the IRS agents’ lawyers about when their contacts with Congress really started.

And one of the claims that Noreika blew off that would have renewed import are two IRS laws that criminalize pressuring the IRS to investigate people, one of which explicitly pertains to the President.

Some of Trump’s possible actions, like a Smirnov pardon, might strengthen Hunter’s hand in making these arguments.

Barring a Hunter Biden pardon, he gets to at least try to make these appeals after he is sentenced in December. And because his appeals will implicate two other legal appeals popular on the right — Trump’s own argument about Special Counsels, and efforts to eliminate gun controls — he may be able to do that on (lengthy) pretrial release.

Again, these are all uphill fights. I’m not saying these appeals will work. But even just arguing them will implicate the kinds of corruption we expect to see going forward.

Right wingers are going to make sure Hunter Biden’s life sucks anyway. But by dint of Trump’s conviction, he has what almost no one else in the country will be able to have: standing to argue about Trump’s own corruption.

image_print
42 replies
  1. scroogemcduck says:

    I’m not saying none of that matters, but it matters very little. The Courts and the Congress are not going to stop or restrain Trump in any meaningful way. Americans voted for a felon to act as President, in the full knowledge that he will be immune from Prosecution for crimes committed in office. Unfortunately, a majority of Americans have so little regard for democracy and the rule of law that they have simply discarded it. Granted, many of them are clueless or deluded about what they have done, but it has been done none the less. Unfortunately, very few of us have enough imagination to fully comprehend how bad this is really going to be. The first Trump term was awful, but temporary. This, to paraphrase Orwell, will be a boot stomping on the face of democracy indefinitely. At best, Orbanism. At worst, Putinism.

    • emptywheel says:

      It only matters if one can make it matter. I’d appreciate if people avoid making themselves impotent on my site.

      • scroogemcduck says:

        Sorry, I’m not in the most hopeful of moods at present. Just to be clear, I appreciate everything you do and I hope you keep it up. Apologies if my comment came across as suggesting your work doesn’t matter; it does. Very much.

        • FL Resister says:

          The last way we need to think right now is that we can do nothing about Trump and his administration of injustice. In doing so you are falling into their hands according to their plan.

          This makes me angrier than anything.
          Yet we on the side of Justice do not act in anger. And when it rises within us, we use our tempered minds and consultations with others to figure out how Justice will prevail.

          Just remember, we who oppose Trump and his broken world view are on the healthy life side of this battle. And we have US history, the US law, and the US Constitution to back us up.

          We have three equal branches of government, no matter how far out of kilter a corrupted Supreme Court and Republican Party has tipped the scale in the current balance of power.

          Major internal problems with the system appear to include the institutional scale tipping that has not been corrected in our Constitution as relates to one person one vote, with all votes counting equally. And a Senate with two Reps from each state, no matter the population.

      • Spencer Dawkins says:

        Thank you for your comment here. It’s a good opportunity to remind ourselves that the very first item on Timothy Snyder’s “Twenty Lessons on Fighting Tyranny from the Twentieth Century”
        is “Do not obey in advance.”

      • John Thomas says:

        Apologies for the late response, but was wondering if you meant to write omnipontent instead of impotent…?

        I know, Monday morning quarterbacks can be such a pain in the uh, nevermind.

    • Grace Ollerhead says:

      All nonsense now

      [Moderator’s note: pay attention to others’ comments. You clearly disregarded the site’s owner’s feedback. Add constructive comments or pass and take the exit. /~Rayne]

      • Rayne says:

        This ^^^ is Grace Ollerhead’s first comment. I am cutting her slack this one time because she may not understand how this place works.

        Read the room before commenting. Add constructive material or don’t bother. We don’t have time for demoralizing bullshit — and by we I mean everyone who wants to preserve what’s left of this republic.

  2. Zinsky123 says:

    Aren’t there still a number of active civil lawsuits where Trump is the defendant? I thought Eric Swalwell had an active civil case against Trump and maybe some of the Capitol Police too? Didn’t I also read that Officer Gary Sicknick’s mother or girlfriend was going to file a wrongful death lawsuit? What happens to all the civil suits against him. It makes me sick to my stomach that this wretched man is literally getting away with murder (or manslaughter)!

    • emptywheel says:

      In those cases Trump will be stayed, but they name a slew of other defendants and I assume those will go forward.

      • Hoping4better_times says:

        If I remember correctly, Paula Jones’ civil lawsuit went forward when Bill Clinton was in office. So why wouldn’t Swalwell (or Thompson) and Blassingame civil lawsuits continue against trump (and co-defendants) while trump is in office?

  3. Upisdown says:

    Regarding Comer and Hunter Biden. Part of Trump’s victory should be credited to the media’s mishandling of Comer and Jordan’s bogus investigations. Since October 2020, and still continuing today, the media allowed the fake narratives surrounding Hunter’s laptop to live and thrive. The device, real or not, contained nothing more than pornographic images of the president’s son, who was not involved in the Biden administration at all. Reporting on the laptop assumed that there was merit behind the Russian disinformation campaign to smear the Biden family as corruptly prospering off of Joe Biden.

  4. Bay State Librul says:

    Thanks for the update.

    KO warns us to take the plot of
    1984 seriously

    To wit, “his novel 1984 warns against the rise of authoritarian figures who charm and beguile us into exchanging our freedoms for the easier life of letting Big Brother take over.”

  5. CinderElla says:

    Is there anywhere Biden might pre-emptively pardon a bad guy to make it harder for Trump to re-pardon them? (I guess they have to accept the pardon for it to work anyway)

  6. Benoit Roux says:

    You are reasoning as if the “rule of law” will follow its due course as it should. Certainly there will be a theater of the rule of law, but I expect all sorts of corrupt interferences of legal proceedings coming from DJT and his minions. The road is pretty wide as to what can be done in the name of the “rule of law” while being corrupt and unlawful.

    • emptywheel says:

      No. I’m not.

      I’m saying there are people who have standing and have already been punished, so they are in a position to use the courts as best they can.

      Amy Berman Jackson is a great namby pamby Obama appointee. Torres isn’t as namby pampy but she’s also an Obama appointee. They are going to ack like judges.

      • Bay State Librul says:

        Namby-pamby is an “informal disapproving adjective that means lacking in character or substantive, or weak and indecisive”
        I never viewed Amy Berman Jackson in that light?

        • emptywheel says:

          I adopted it when talking about Bill Barr’s lies about Roger Stone’s sentencing. She’s sympathetic to defendants.

      • gruntfuttock says:

        Further down, you say: ‘She’s sympathetic to defendants.’

        I think judges should be sympathetic to the people they have power over. Judges are the intermediaries/intercedents between ordinary, powerless people and the impersonal machinery of the state. They see real human beings in their courts.

        Sympathy is the need to understand others, to know where they’re coming from and how they got to where they are. If judges don’t understand that, they shouldn’t be judges.

        • theartistvvv says:

          In context, “sympathy” is being used to convey that there is bias.

          If judges don’t understand that, they shouldn’t be judges.

          (That said, I approve of ABJ in general.)

  7. Error Prone says:

    Trump has said he might pardon Hunter Biden: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/10/24/2024-elections-live-coverage-updates-analysis/donald-trump-pardon-hunter-biden-00185320

    Putting that among a slew of other pardons might alter his place with Republicans in the House. Let Hunter be, promote his agenda as key priority or on running again the endorsement might be withheld. He has cause to put all the Hunter stuff to rest, with his agenda more important for him to push in the House. And House Republicans would do whatever Trump and Wiles see as best.

    He pardons, what of Hunter’s litigation stays? And would it be worth it for Hunter to pursue the other stuff? What would Kevin Morris in Hollywood prefer? He was a trial attendee, but he might want to fade into the background – again there – and might encourage Hunter to accept a Trump pardon if one is offered. If Trump were to pardon Hunter, how would that be expected to sit with Kevin Morris, who has his own life apart from the Bidens.

      • Error Prone says:

        EW – Kevin Morris cannot “force” him, but can Morris and Joe in old age and retirement lean on him effectively? After the candidate substitution, what might Joe want? Is he that grade of a “fighter” against the brick wall of Trump’s scope of victory? And shouldn’t the fight be by a younger generation of Democrats. Guardian is already doing dissection of the loss. Almost fingerpointing.

        Trump issues a pardon and Hunter says, “No, thanks.” is something I do not see as realistic. Trump not pardoning Hunter, I see that.

    • hippiebullsht says:

      Ooh, thanks for that news. I love the concept of cult47 offering a pardon to Hunter to cover the superficial MagaState’s ass and Hunter saying, “No, I will clear my name the truthful way, slaying your games in court.”

      I think Hunter deserves to choose his path and I see every reason he will choose best. And we will hear a good solid report of why he chose and his take on the final outcomes.
      I am hoping it can all move in a direction that is healthy and good for our country and kicks malignant non-justice lawfare in the teeth.

    • earlofhuntingdon says:

      The line for those who believe a Trump promise is longer than the line for sparkle ponies. He also said that before the election, to appear almost human. He doesn’t need to do that any more.

    • zscoreUSA says:

      That is interesting, I was not aware of that comment.

      We have seen the GOP-demanded effort to follow up the Smirnov bribery allegations only to have that lead to criminal charges for Smirnov and knowledge of ties to Israeli intelligence, knowledge of ongoing Russian meddling in elections, ties to Rudy, increased scrutiny of Brady malfeasance [by Emptywheel at least]…

      So I suppose Trump has interest in covering up whatever else is hidden underneath revolving around Hunter.

  8. Savage Librarian says:

    What an extraordinary post, Marcy. So well done. Meticulous. Exceptionally thought out and well written. Encouraging.

    Of course I love this:
    “But by dint of Trump’s conviction, he [Hunter] has what almost no one else in the country will be able to have: standing to argue about Trump’s own corruption.”

    And this:
    “Again, these are all uphill fights. I’m not saying these appeals will work. But even just arguing them will implicate the kinds of corruption we expect to see going forward.”

    This also clarifies for me why the city settled with me after I lost in court. I had immediately told the court I intended to appeal and to also file a second suit based on a related retaliation. But if I hadn’t settled, I can now see how some corruption would have come to light just by arguing them even if the appeals didn’t work. I imagine Susie Wiles might be glad I didn’t do that, not to mention a number of other people.

  9. LaMissy! says:

    Not really in jest: if Vance et al 25th Trump early on, before the statutes of limitation expire, would it be possible for Trump to be subject to prosecution once again?

      • Spencer Dawkins says:

        I’m not a passionate viewer of right wing media, but I’m having a hard time thinking of a time I’ve seen Trump on video this year that wouldn’t be explained by “weekend at Bernie’s”.

        • xaaronx_09NOV2024_2203h says:

          Bernie danced better.

          [Welcome to emptywheel. Please choose and use a unique username with a minimum of 8 letters. We have adopted this minimum standard to support community security. Because your username is too short it will be temporarily changed to match the date/time of your first known comment until you have a new compliant username. Thanks. /~Rayne]

  10. Marc in Denver says:

    “And one of the claims that Noreika blew off that would have renewed import are two IRS laws that criminalize pressuring the IRS to investigate people, one of which explicitly pertains to the President.”

    Isn’t that particular law (Congress purportedly constraining the President’s control over all things Executive Branch) implicated as being possible unconstitutional under CJ Roberts’s immunity decision?

    • earlofhuntingdon says:

      It’s not that the IRS-related law you’re referring to is unconstitutional, so much as that Trump could probably assert immunity for breaking it.

      If the latter, those who implement any illegal order from Trump can be prosecuted for obeying it. I would not want to be on the Pardon Attorney’s staff in his administration. They are likely to alternate between managing an impossibly heavy workload and being ignored.

  11. dael Escher says:

    Democracy?!? It’s obvious the margins are so small in most races that one >>>can<<< say the F*ckery put them over the top.

  12. zscoreUSA says:

    Possible Hunter Pardon

    About whether to pardon Hunter, I contend that it is relevant to the discussion that Hunter was some sort of intelligence asset. And that part of his unraveling was due to not being able to hold up to certain pressures. I have mentioned this before, over a year ago. I think that will factor into Joe’s decision, that there was a patriotic motivation for some of Hunter’s actions.

    Recently, Miranda Devine’s new book about the Ukraine impeachment scandal ends with a compelling case that Hunter has been affiliated with CIA. She also makes similar arguments about Kolomoisky.

    [Disclaimer: this is not an endorsement of Miranda Devine. This is an endorsement of analyzing information narratives, the dynamics of flow, to get a wider scope of what is going on. I have seen 0 analysis or discussion on this topic.]

    I find this really interesting as Miranda Devine has not demonstrated that she could come up with this theory and analyze this evidence on her own. And yet, she is the only journalist to report on this topic. I believe it’s more likely that she is a mouthpiece for someone with actual intelligence analysis. Same goes for her original reporting on the “laptop from hell”.

    Top suspects include people tied to Grassley’s, Nunes’s, and Trump White House’s staff. People like Patel, Harvey, Cohen, Ellis, somewhere in the Grassley-Nunes nexus. People with access to classified information, maybe even briefed on the counterintelligence investigation into Hunter that was active at least by October 2018.

    Devine doesn’t quote anyone who would know about Hunter being CIA or ties to intelligence. (She does quote Devon Archer, who would not know officially.) Instead she makes an analysis from publicly available information. So in this way there is some plausible deniability that she was tipped off about Hunter.

    I am reminded of the Valerie Plame affair where there was a leak of the identity of a covert CIA officer, which then led to the appointment of a special counsel.

    Suppose I am correct there, that Hunter was an intelligence asset… and that this information was leaked to Devine… and that she danced around that leak by printing an analysis of public information (an analysis capability inconsistent with her previous reporting)… is there something that the outgoing administration can do about that?

  13. Error Prone says:

    It’s an aged thread, so I shall mention – some people in earlier posts said Guardian was a better outlet than others. How do those folks like what Guardian is now printing post election? A thought. Not a thread hijack. Think about it.

    Schumer said for every blue collar vote lost in Philadelphia two suburban votes are gained. It worked out a bit differently. The burbs are not doing super either.

    If there is a delay in GHW Bush’s New World Order, how long might it last?

Comments are closed.