The Taiwan Snub

I believe I remain the only person who has reported that China was involved in a suspected $10 million payment to Trump in 2016. When Egypt National Bank was dodging compliance with a Robert Mueller subpoena in 2018-2019, they said complying with the request might violate Chinese law. That investigation was shut down in 2020 in a period when Bill Barr was otherwise shutting down all of Mueller’s then-ongoing investigations.

Among the new details of Trump’s financial ties to China revealed when his tax records were stolen and leaked is that Trump made $5.6 million from selling the penthouse Ivanka used to live in to a well-connected Chinese businessperson.

And not long after winning the 2016 election, Mr. Trump reported selling a penthouse in one of his Manhattan buildings for $15.8 million to a Chinese-American businesswoman named Xiao Yan Chen, who bought the unit, previously occupied by Ivanka Trump and her husband, Jared Kushner, in an off-market transaction. Ms. Chen runs an international consulting firm and reportedly has high-level connections to government and political elites in China.

Mr. Trump’s tax records show that he reported a capital gain of at least $5.6 million from the penthouse sale in 2017, his first year as president.

Those are interesting details, given China’s ties to Russia as Trump runs for President on a platform of capitulating to Vladimir Putin’s whims.

After all, at the NATO summit that the press largely ignored in favor of complaining that Joe Biden is old, the parties approved a declaration that called out China’s role in facilitating Russia’s attack on Ukraine.

The People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) stated ambitions and coercive policies continue to challenge our interests, security and values. The deepening strategic partnership between Russia and the PRC and their mutually reinforcing attempts to undercut and reshape the rules-based international order, are a cause for profound concern.

[snip]

26. The PRC has become a decisive enabler of Russia’s war against Ukraine through its so-called “no limits” partnership and its large-scale support for Russia’s defence industrial base. This increases the threat Russia poses to its neighbours and to Euro-Atlantic security. We call on the PRC, as a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council with a particular responsibility to uphold the purposes and principles of the UN Charter, to cease all material and political support to Russia’s war effort. This includes the transfer of dual-use materials, such as weapons components, equipment, and raw materials that serve as inputs for Russia’s defence sector. The PRC cannot enable the largest war in Europe in recent history without this negatively impacting its interests and reputation.

27. The PRC continues to pose systemic challenges to Euro-Atlantic security. We have seen sustained malicious cyber and hybrid activities, including disinformation, stemming from the PRC. We call on the PRC to uphold its commitment to act responsibly in cyberspace. We are concerned by developments in the PRC’s space capabilities and activities. We call on the PRC to support international efforts to promote responsible space behaviour. The PRC continues to rapidly expand and diversify its nuclear arsenal with more warheads and a larger number of sophisticated delivery systems. We urge the PRC to engage in strategic risk reduction discussions and promote stability through transparency. We remain open to constructive engagement with the PRC, including to build reciprocal transparency with the view of safeguarding the Alliance’s security interests. At the same time, we are boosting our shared awareness, enhancing our resilience and preparedness, and protecting against the PRC’s coercive tactics and efforts to divide the Alliance.

China scoffed that the charge.

“On the Ukraine crisis, NATO hyped up China’s responsibility. It makes no sense and comes with malicious intent,” Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jin told a regular media briefing.

“We urge NATO to reflect on the root cause of the crisis and what it has done, and take concrete action to de-escalate rather than shift blame.”

Then it kicked off war games with the Russian navy.

China and Russia’s naval forces on Sunday kicked off a joint exercise at a military port in southern China on Sunday, official news agency Xinhua reported, days after NATO allies called Beijing a “decisive enabler” of the war in Ukraine.

The Chinese defense ministry said in a brief statement forces from both sides recently patrolled the western and northern Pacific Ocean and that the operation had nothing to do with international and regional situations and didn’t target any third party.

The exercise, which began in Guangdong province on Sunday and is expected to last until mid-July, aimed to demonstrate the capabilities of the navies in addressing security threats and preserving peace and stability globally and regionally, state broadcaster CCTV reported Saturday, adding it would include anti-missile exercises, sea strikes and air defense.

All of which makes this detail — part of the RNC platform that wasn’t the subject of a disinformation campaign in which credulous reporters claimed that endorsing fetal personhood was not a wholesale attack on choice — of more interest. In addition to (predictably) removing even the watered down Ukrainian position that was so controversial in the 2016 platform, the RNC also removed all mention of Taiwan.

— TAIWAN TICKED OFF OVER RNC SNUB: For the first time since 1980, Taiwan didn’t rate a mention in the Republican National Committee’s party platform released this week. Compare that with the platform in 2016 [link replaced] (the GOP didn’t produce one in 2020) that described the island as a “loyal friend” and pledged to “help Taiwan defend itself.” The RNC’s exclusion of Taiwan in the platform came despite intensive outreach by Taiwan’s diplomatic outpost in Washington, the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office, to persuade GOP allies to get Taiwan into the platform, two people familiar with that effort told China Watcher. China Watcher granted the two anonymity because they were not allowed to discuss U.S.-Tawan issues on-record.

Messages shared with China Watcher between a former U.S. government official perceived as friendly toward Taiwan and a senior TECRO official included that official’s (unsuccessful) pleas that the platform reference Taiwan’s importance to Indo-Pacific security.

The platform supports a trade war with China — but makes no commitment to combat Chinese expansion to Taiwan, as Republicans committed in 2016.

We salute the people of Taiwan, with whom we share the values of democracy, human rights, a free market economy, and the rule of law. Our relations will continue to be based upon the provisions of the Taiwan Relations Act, and we affirm the Six Assurances given to Taiwan in 1982 by President Reagan. We oppose any unilateral steps by either side to alter the status quo in the Taiwan Straits on the principle that all issues regarding the island’s future must be resolved peacefully, through dialogue, and be agreeable to the people of Taiwan. If China were to violate those principles, the United States, in accord with the Taiwan Relations Act, will help Taiwan defend itself. We praise efforts by the new government in Taipei to continue constructive relations across the Taiwan Strait and call on China to reciprocate. As a loyal friend of America, Taiwan has merited our strong support, including free trade agreement status, the timely sale of defensive arms including technology to build diesel submarines, and full participation in the World Health Organization, International Civil Aviation Organization, and other multilateral institutions.

Trump is solicitous not just of Putin. He is also impressed by Xi Jinping and Kim Jong-Un, too.

And Kim Jong-Un, and President Xi of China – Kim Jong-Un of North Korea, all of these – Putin – they don’t respect him. They don’t fear him. They have nothing going with this gentleman and he’s going to drive us into World War Three.

Which could make Trump really susceptible to an offer most other people would refuse.

31 replies
  1. Clare Kelly says:

    Thank you.

    So much for the 1971 “Taiwan Relations Act” and AFAIK,
    nary a peep from the 2021 Republican delegation to Taiwan, nor from Josh Hawley, who introduced the “Arm Taiwan Act of 2021”.

  2. Spencer Dawkins says:

    Having a better memory than the media I read elsewhere is a heavy responsibility, but you discharge that responsibility amazingly well.

    Thank you for all that you do.

  3. boatgeek says:

    This is all the more curious given how rabidly many of Trump’s supporters are opposed to the Chinese Communist Party. You would think that the GOP would leave the defense of Taiwan in the platform as lip service and then ignore it later if it wasn’t deemed convenient.

    • Clare Kelly says:

      Apparently fetal personhood trumps International security with what remains of the original GOP…or maybe the MAGA takeover is now complete.

    • Harry Eagar says:

      I rely on my Republican cousins to instruct me in the thinking behind positions that seem to you or me to be difficult to justify.

      When it comes to Ukraine (and, I assume, China though my cousins have not spoken on that so far), the rationale for inaction is that action puts the US on a slippery slope to World War III.

  4. Error Prone says:

    It seems Lowell should be filing in California District Court, and to postpone sentencing on the gun charge, where Hunter has been put in jeopardy. What are Statute of Limitations considerations as to regular DOJ proceedings being begun at this stage. Would a tolling argument be successful? Fun times.

  5. Error Prone says:

    It is interesting Cannon saying a special prosecutor is a Verboten species while Republican House critters are saying Garland lacks jurisdiction over the Biden-Hur tapes, since they’re the special prosecutor’s. That one will not land anywhere before the election, since Hur no longer has a mandate, and Garland is disinclined to release tapes. Fun times.

  6. Bobster33 says:

    I cannot help but wonder if Biden’s attempt to build better computer chip manufacturing plants in the US will enable a future president to abandon Taiwan. Taiwan is home to TSM which makes the very top of the line computer chips. If China takes over Taiwan before global chip manufacturers can build a replacement facility, the US strategic position will suffer.

    • Error Prone says:

      TSMC is building in Arizona, and concerned with American know-how to run things there. Intel is building in Ohio. With battery production by US workers in US plants being part of infrastructure planning, it appears also that Biden policy recognizes present high Chinese auto tariffs and subsidy to chip and battery development as temporary adjustments which also envision Taiwan being folded into China and the international auto market ultimately being open. Trump touts tariffs, so aside from other more politicized differences, international trade and its economic impacts and dimensions may be the most critical two-party difference; globalization vs protective isolationist nationalism. The NATO post touches the other question of world economic future arrangements, with war possible if economic norms are not well set as blocs are defined and evolved; EU, NATO being interrelated. BRIC being another bloc along with North America (formerly NAFTA). Some people clearly have long range policy outlooks. Trump and Orban are reactionary to such thinking, and the next twenty years will be interesting. Particularly if MAGA evolves to protectionism becoming dominant instead of globalization with getting along interdependent being less likely to cause war. Neither Biden nor Trump will live long enough to see how the forces play out.

    • vigetnovus says:

      This. Why do you think China is amping up the rhetoric so much?

      Hopefully, if we still have a republic, we continue to defend Taiwan regardless.

    • boatgeek says:

      China is unlikely to have the capability to invade Taiwan for a significant period of time. At minimum, they just don’t have enough landing ships to do an opposed beach landing several hundred miles from their shores. I’m not convinced that opposed landings are even possible against a modern army. Man-portable anti-tank weapons like Javelins would be just as effective at mangling ships from 3-5 miles away as they are at mangling tanks. And that’s before you start thinking about quadcopters with RPG warheads. China could certainly destroy Taiwan the way Russia has destroyed the cities of Eastern Ukraine, but that would be killing the goose with the golden eggs.

      • Harry Eagar says:

        True. Like Hitler looking longingly at England, the invader would have first to obtain air superiority.

        As we are learning — I hope we are — from the war in Ukraine, technical capabilities are redrawing the battlefield.

        Besides, I am pretty sure China expects to prevail by political measures and has no intentions of fighting. See: Hong Kong.

        • boatgeek says:

          Thanks for the fact check. I knew I should have checked on the map first.

          I think my point still stands. It’s about the same distance as the Allies traveled from port to the D-Day beaches. And that was a monumental effort even with air and sea superiority. China also doesn’t have any recent experience with beach landings like the Allies did in both Pacific and European theaters.

    • HikaakiH says:

      The real strategic gem in high end chip making is ASML Holding N.V., a Netherland’s company located in Veldhoven. They make the photolithography machines that chip manufacturers (including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) use to ‘print’ on semi-conductor material.

  7. harpie says:

    When Hungary’s ORBAN recently met with TRUMP, he called it “Peace mission 5.0”
    Maybe this is what he means:

    [1.0] 3/8/24 TRUMP meets with ORBAN at Mara-Lago [Foreign Minister, Péter SZIJJZRTO is there too]

    [2.0] 5/9/24 NYT: EUROPE // In Budapest, Xi Hails a ‘Deep Friendship’ With Hungary The Chinese leader met with Viktor Orban, the Hungarian prime minister, one of China’s most fervent admirers and protectors in Europe.

    I added this later…not 5, I guess:
    7/2/24 NYT: EUROPE // Orban, Russian Friend Angling for E.U. Influence, Visits Ukraine Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary, who has resisted European military and financial aid for Ukraine, met with President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv.

    [3.0] 7/5/24 NYT: EUROPE // Viktor Orban Meets Vladimir Putin, Dismaying E.U. Days after a trip to Ukraine, the Hungarian leader arrived in Moscow for a visit, but E.U. officials made clear that he was not there on behalf of the bloc.

    [4.0] 7/7/24 NYT: ASIA PACIFIC // Viktor Orban, Hungary’s Leader, Surprises Europe Again With Visit to China Mr. Orban said his meeting with President Xi Jinping was part of a “peace mission” for Ukraine. But both leaders want to offset Western power.

    [5.0] 7/12/24 ORBAN visits TRUMP at MaraLago [“Peace mission 5.0”]

    • harpie says:

      I added the 7/2/24 trip at the end of the editing period.

      I guess the 3/8/24 meeting between TUMP and ORBAN should be seen as
      a kind of organizational one. Then the other 5 could be seen as the result of that.

      There is a lot from this post that could expand on this outline,
      and items from the US political calendar will fit in, too.

  8. harpie says:

    [ORGANIZATIONAL]
    3/8/24 TRUMP meets with ORBAN at Mara-Lago [Foreign Minister, Péter SZIJJZRTO is there too]

    BIDEN: [Campaigning Friday in Pennsylvania] ’You know who he’s meeting with today down in Mar-a-Lago? Orbán of Hungary, who’s stated flatly that he doesn’t thinks democracy works, he’s looking for dictatorship.” [] “I see a future where we defend democracy, not diminish it.” [AP]

    https://x.com/PM_ViktorOrban/status/1766305639595119060
    10:30 PM · Mar 8, 2024

    It was a pleasure to visit President @realDonaldTrump today. We need leaders in the world who are respected and can bring peace. He is one of them! Come back and bring us peace, Mr. President! [PHOTO]

    3/9/24 NYT: POLITICS // Trump praises Hungary’s nationalist prime minister as ‘the boss.’

    • harpie says:

      [1.0]
      5/9/24 NYT: EUROPE // In Budapest, Xi Hails a ‘Deep Friendship’ With Hungary
      The Chinese leader met with Viktor Orban, the Hungarian prime minister, one of China’s most fervent admirers and protectors in Europe.

      6/25/24 DEBATE
      https://abc17news.com/politics/national-politics/cnn-us-politics/2024/06/27/read-biden-trump-debate-partial-rush-transcript/

      TRUMP: […] We’re a failing nation right now. We’re a seriously failing nation. And we’re a failing nation because of him. His policies are so bad. His military policies are insane. They’re insane. These are wars that will never end with him. He will drive us into World War Three and we’re closer to World War Three than anybody can imagine. We are very, very close to World War Three, and he’s driving us there. And Kim Jong-Un, and President Xi of China – Kim Jong-Un of North Korea, all of these – Putin [Russia] – they don’t respect him. They don’t fear him. They have nothing going with this gentleman and he’s going to drive us into World War Three.

      BIDEN: If you want a World War Three, let him follow (ph) and win, and let Putin say, do what you want to NATO – just do what you want.

    • harpie says:

      [2.0] 7/2/24 NYT: EUROPE // Orban, Russian Friend Angling for E.U. Influence, Visits Ukraine Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary, who has resisted European military and financial aid for Ukraine, met with President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv.

      [3.0] 7/5/24 NYT: EUROPE // Viktor Orban Meets Vladimir Putin, Dismaying E.U. Days after a trip to Ukraine, the Hungarian leader arrived in Moscow for a visit, but E.U. officials made clear that he was not there on behalf of the bloc.

      [4.0] 7/7/24 NYT: ASIA PACIFIC // Viktor Orban, Hungary’s Leader, Surprises Europe Again With Visit to China Mr. Orban said his meeting with President Xi Jinping was part of a “peace mission” for Ukraine. But both leaders want to offset Western power.

      7/8/24 GOP releases party platform
      https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/2024-republican-party-platform []
      [APP Note: This platform was approved by Republican National Committee’s platform committee on July 8, 2024 and released to the public as the final product. The platform is scheduled to be formally adopted at the Republican National Convention on July 15, 2024. Following approval at the Convention, this disclaimer will be removed.]

      Marcy:

      […] All of which makes this detail — part of the RNC platform that wasn’t the subject of a disinformation campaign in which credulous reporters claimed that endorsing fetal personhood was not a wholesale attack on choice — of more interest. In addition to (predictably) removing even the watered down Ukrainian position that was so controversial in the 2016 platform, the RNC also removed all mention of Taiwan. […] The platform supports a trade war with China — but makes no commitment to combat Chinese expansion to Taiwan, as Republicans committed in 2016. […]

    • harpie says:

      7/10/24 Washington Summit Declaration issued by the Heads of State and Government participating in the meeting of the North Atlantic Council in Washington, D.C. 10 July 2024 https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_227678.htm []

      Marcy:

      Those are interesting details, given China’s ties to Russia as Trump runs for President on a platform of capitulating to Vladimir Putin’s whims.

      After all, at the NATO summit that the press largely ignored in favor of complaining that Joe Biden is old, the parties approved a declaration that called out China’s role in facilitating Russia’s attack on Ukraine.

      7/11/24 Yahoo: China rejects NATO’s ‘enabler’ label over Ukraine war
      https:[space]//au.news.yahoo.com/china-rejects-natos-enabler-label-085713982.html Thu, 11 July 2024 at 4:57 am GMT-4

      7/11/24 NYT: Change in Headline // Change in Abstract
      https:[space]//botsin.space/@nyt_diff/112771471216272909
      Jul 11, 2024, 23:48 [* = new wording]

      Biden’s High Stakes Moment: Tonight’s NATO *In* News Conference *Conference, Biden Has Slips but Shows Strength on Foreign Policy*

      The President’s allies, doubters and enemies will be watching for any evidence of stumbles as he fields *In a nearly hourlong appearance, President Biden hit back at* questions from reporters *about his fitness for office and engaged in long discourses on China and Gaza.*

    • harpie says:

      7/11/24 NYT: POLITICS // Trump Is Expected to Meet With Orban, Hungary’s Prime Minister, in Florida The meeting would come after Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who has long been aligned with the former president, made unexpected trips to China, Russia and Ukraine. // By Michael Gold, Maggie Haberman and Derrick Bryson Taylor [^^^ This is STILL -as of an hour ago- the last mention of ORBAN in a search at NYT]

      [5.0] 7/12/24 ORBAN visits TRUMP at MaraLago [“Peace mission 5.0”]
      https://x.com/sahilkapur/status/1811618272778813678
      12:27 AM · Jul 12, 2024

      Meanwhile: Trump posts tonight in solidarity with Viktor Orban. [screenshot]

      ORBAN: Peace mission 5.0
      It was an honour to visit President @realDonaldTrump at Mar-a-Lago today. We discussed ways to make #peace. The good news of the day: he’s going to solve it!

      TRUMP: Thank you Viktor. There must be PEACE, and quickly. Too many people have died in a war that should have never started! DJT

      7/14/24 Marcy: Then it [China] kicked off war games with the Russian navy.

      China, Russia start joint naval drills, days after NATO allies called Beijing a Ukraine war enabler https:[space]//apnews.com/article/china-russia-joint-naval-drills-nato-ukraine-08590a566d76ae1ddc47dde7cea8ad1a
      Updated 2:56 AM EDT, July 15, 2024 [“began Sunday”]

      7/15/24 GOP platform will be approved at Convention

      • klynn says:

        “Peace Mission 5.0” is sarcasm for Lucy’s “I’ll give you five reasons,” counting her fingers and holding up a fist. 5.0 = fist. Fist to Orban equals solidarity among fascist leaders.

      • harpie says:

        Insert:

        7/12/24 ORBAN letter to Charles Michel, President of the European Council
        [per NYT] [my emphasis]

        “During my talks with President Trump, I came to a conclusion that foreign policy will play only a small role in his campaign, which is dominated by internal political questions. Therefore we can expect no peace initiative coming from him until the elections.”

        “I can however surely state that shortly after his election victory, he will not wait until his inauguration, but will be ready to act as a peace broker immediately. He has detailed and well-founded plans for this.”

        “I am more than convinced that in the likely outcome of the victory of President Trump, the proportion of the financial burden between the U.S. and the E.U. will significantly change to the E.U.’s disadvantage when it comes to the financial support of Ukraine.” [< That sounds like a threat]

        “Our European strategy in the name of trans-Atlantic unity has copied the pro-war policy of the U.S. We have not had a sovereign and independent European strategy or political action plan up to now.”

        [He proposes] “reopening direct lines of diplomatic communication with Russia and the rehabilitation of such direct contacts in our political communication,” [while maintaining contacts with Ukraine]. […]

    • harpie says:

      7/16/24 NYT: Pushing Quick End to Ukraine War, Orban Plays Trump’s Messenger to E.U. Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary has been on a self-appointed diplomatic mission that aligns with Donald J. Trump’s preferences in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

  9. WhispersRD says:

    Well, I, for one, am glad Citizens United opened the door to foreign powers directly investing in our candidates.

  10. timbozone says:

    I’m selling large chunks of opinion on why the GOP platform doesn’t mention Taiwan… to the highest bidder. Easy under the table payments negotiable.

  11. jecojeco says:

    There’s nothing about GOP platform and 2025 plans that aren’t deeply disturbing.

    In addition to tossing aside long established domestic civil rights we’re tossing a 70 years established global economic order for radical trade wars and protectionism designed by a con man who careens from bankruptcy to bankruptcy. And the draft dodger wants to collapse NATO and invite Russian and Chinese military advances for shit & giggles?

    People need to look a little past todays gas and egg prices to see the absolute lunacy offered by this mutant GOP.

    • Ithaqua0 says:

      And don’t forget returning to a currency backed by “metals”, i.e. the gold standard!!! I can’t imagine the devastation that would cause, but I also can’t imagine even half the Republican senators voting for such an obvious “end of America” plan.

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